Nassim Taleb

Nassim Taleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese-American essayist, statistician, and former derivatives trader whose Incerto series — including Fooled by Randomness (2001), The Black Swan (2007), and Antifragile (2012) — dissects human cognitive biases, the impact of rare unpredictable events, and the limits of statistical models in complex systems. The Black Swan, published a year before the 2008 financial crisis, made his framework of tail risk and epistemic humility central to discussions of economics, risk management, and decision-making. He is a Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University.